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USA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock (USAR) vs Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Correlation
of % moves
-20%
In sync
of periods
45%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-02
12
These move opposite each other about 45% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~4% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
45.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-20%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-72% → +45%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
12 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
300
470
Normalized
300
470
Prepared
15
470
Aligned
12
12
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
4.2%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
12
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -1 to 1 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-20%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-20%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-20%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
3 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-58%
6 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
461
A: 3 / B: 458
Series A
USA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock (USAR)
USAR
Stock · 300 raw → 15 prepared
Series B
Case-Shiller Home Price Index
CSUSHPINSA
FRED · 470 raw → 470 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0024
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0000
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-csushpinsa_stock-usar_monthly_5y