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USAR vs FUS Core CPIUSA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock (USAR) vs US Core CPI
Correlation
of % moves
+56%
In sync
of periods
50%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
13
These move in the same direction about 50% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~31% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
50.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+56%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-2% → +86%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
13 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
300
831
Normalized
300
831
Prepared
15
831
Aligned
13
13
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
31.1%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
13
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -2 to 2 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+56%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+56%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+56%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+1%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+37%
6 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
820
A: 2 / B: 818
Series A
USA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock (USAR)
USAR
Stock · 300 raw → 15 prepared
Series B
US Core CPI
CPILFESL
FRED · 831 raw → 831 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0027
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0023
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-cpilfesl_stock-usar_monthly_5y