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USAR vs FUS Core CPIUSA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock (USAR) vs US Core CPI
Correlation
of % moves
+41%
In sync
of periods
57%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
16
These move in the same direction about 57% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~16% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
US Core CPI moves ~1 month before USAR
Watch US Core CPI for an early read on USAR.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
57%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+41%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-16% → +77%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
16 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
375
834
Normalized
375
834
Prepared
19
834
Aligned
16
16
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
16%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
14
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -2 to 2 months.
Selected shift
-1 month
Correlation at this shift
+58%
+18% stronger than no-shift baseline
US Core CPI shifted 1 month later. Reads: "Does USA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock (USAR) today line up with US Core CPI 1 month ago?"
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+41%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-1 month
+58%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-31%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-3%
6 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
821
A: 3 / B: 818
Series A
USA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock (USAR)
USAR
Stock · 375 raw → 19 prepared
Series B
US Core CPI
CPILFESL
FRED · 834 raw → 834 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
7
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0021
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0022
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-cpilfesl_stock-usar_monthly_5y