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Correlation
of % moves
+35%
In sync
of periods
65%
History
daysdays · through 2026-06-11
313
These move in the same direction about 65% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~12% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently tighter than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Swings around
Their relationship swings around — sometimes tight, sometimes loose. Don't trust a single snapshot.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
64.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+35%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+25% → +45%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
313 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
313
1,255
Normalized
313
1,255
Prepared
313
1,255
Aligned
313
313
Invalid removed
R²(i)
12.5%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
313
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+35%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
312 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+35%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+35%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+24%
84 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+57%
82 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-46%
83 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
942
A: 0 / B: 942
Series A
USA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock (USAR)
USAR
Stock · 313 raw → 313 prepared
Series B
Global X Uranium ETF (URA)
URA
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
18
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1280
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0019
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: stock-ura_stock-usar_daily_5y