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Uniswap (UNI) vs Building Permits
Correlation
of % moves
-34%
In sync
of periods
41%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
23
These move in the same direction about 41% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~12% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Building Permits moves ~11 months before UNI
Watch Building Permits for an early read on UNI.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
41%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-34%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
729
797
Normalized
729
797
Prepared
25
797
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
12%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
22
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 months.
Selected shift
-11 months
Correlation at this shift
-45%
+10% stronger than no-shift baseline
Building Permits shifted 11 months later. Reads: "Does Uniswap (UNI) today line up with Building Permits 11 months ago?"
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-34%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-11 months
-45%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
3 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-35%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-52%
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
776
A: 2 / B: 774
Series A
Uniswap (UNI)
UNI
Crypto · 729 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Building Permits
PERMIT
FRED · 797 raw → 797 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
9
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0759
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0041
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: crypto-uni_fred-permit_monthly_5y