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Uniswap (UNI) vs Sticky Price CPI
Correlation
of % moves
+41%
In sync
of periods
68%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
23
These move in the same direction about 68% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~17% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
UNI moves ~3 months before Sticky Price CPI
Watch UNI for an early read on Sticky Price CPI.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
68%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+41%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
729
701
Normalized
729
701
Prepared
25
701
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
17%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
22
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 months.
Selected shift
+3 months
Correlation at this shift
-75%
+35% stronger than no-shift baseline
Sticky Price CPI shifted 3 months earlier. Reads: "Does Uniswap (UNI) today line up with Sticky Price CPI 3 months from now?"
19 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+41%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+3 months
-75%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+46%
5 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+39%
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-77%
7 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
680
A: 2 / B: 678
Series A
Uniswap (UNI)
UNI
Crypto · 729 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Sticky Price CPI
CORESTICKM159SFRBATL
FRED · 701 raw → 701 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0589
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0115
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: crypto-uni_fred-corestickm159sfrbatl_monthly_5y