Correlation Analysis
TSLA vs AMZN
These move together about 65% of the time
Strong positive
Strong enough to use as a signal — read the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Tesla is a vertically integrated battery electric vehicle automaker and developer of real world artificial intelligence software, which includes autonomous driving and humanoid robots. The company has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include luxury and midsize sedans, crossover SUVs, a light truck, and a semi truck. Tesla also plans to begin selling a sports car and offer a robotaxi service. Global deliveries in 2025 were nearly 1.64 million vehicles. The company sells batteries for stationary storage for residential and commercial properties including utilities and solar panels and solar roofs for energy generation. Tesla also owns a fast-charging network and an auto insurance business.
Market cap 1.3T
Amazon is the leading online retailer and marketplace for third party sellers. Retail related revenue represents approximately 74% of total, followed by Amazon Web Services (17%), and advertising services (9%). International segments constitute 22% of Amazon's total revenue, led by Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan.
Market cap 2.3T
What to Watch
AMZN moves ~6 days before TSLA
Watch AMZN for an early read on TSLA.
Tighter in drawdowns
Pair moves more tightly when both fall (+0.81) than when both rise (+0.52) — typical risk-off behaviour.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
-6 days
Correlation at this shift
+0.689
+0.00 stronger than no-shift baseline
Amazon.Com Inc shifted 6 days later. Reads: "Does Tesla, Inc. Common Stock today line up with Amazon.Com Inc 6 days ago?"
1,248 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Amazon.Com Inc shifted 6 days later
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.521
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.810
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.695
11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
r
+0.686
Pearson correlation
95% CI
0.66 → 0.71
Likely range
R²
47.0%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
64.6%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,254
Deep
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
TSLA
Market cap 1.3T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Amazon.Com Inc
AMZN
Market cap 2.3T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
45
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.3488
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
71.0354
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: stock-tsla-vs-stock-amzn-daily-20260408-6cfpiv