Loading market view
Loading market view
Loading correlations
Correlation
of % moves
-15%
In sync
of periods
40%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-20
509
These move in the same direction about 40% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~2% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Rock solid
The relationship barely changes from period to period — treat it as a reliable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
40.1%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-15%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-23% → -6%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
509 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
729
9,190
Normalized
729
9,190
Prepared
729
9,190
Aligned
509
509
Invalid removed
R²(i)
2.2%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
509
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-15%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
508 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-15%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-15%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-6%
54 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+7%
46 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-47%
149 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
8,901
A: 220 / B: 8681
Series A
TRON (TRX)
TRX
Crypto · 729 raw → 729 prepared
Series B
VIX
VIXCLS
FRED · 9,190 raw → 9,190 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
54
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.3186
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0011
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: crypto-trx_fred-vixcls_daily_5y