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TRON (TRX) vs 10Y-2Y Yield Spread
Correlation
of % moves
+23%
In sync
of periods
53%
History
daysdays · through 2026-09-08
493
These move in the same direction about 53% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~5% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
10Y-2Y Yield Spread moves ~1 day before TRX
Watch 10Y-2Y Yield Spread for an early read on TRX.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
53%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+23%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+14% → +31%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
493 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
729
12,564
Normalized
729
12,564
Prepared
729
12,564
Aligned
493
493
Invalid removed
R²(i)
5%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
492
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
-1 day
Correlation at this shift
-38%
+15% stronger than no-shift baseline
10Y-2Y Yield Spread shifted 1 day later. Reads: "Does TRON (TRX) today line up with 10Y-2Y Yield Spread 1 day ago?"
491 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+23%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-1 day
-38%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+4%
68 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+1%
47 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-46%
134 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
12,307
A: 236 / B: 12071
Series A
TRON (TRX)
TRX
Crypto · 729 raw → 729 prepared
Series B
10Y-2Y Yield Spread
T10Y2Y
FRED · 12,564 raw → 12,564 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
20
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.9749
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0020
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: crypto-trx_fred-t10y2y_daily_5y