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TRON (TRX) vs Personal Savings Rate
Correlation
of % moves
-24%
In sync
of periods
50%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
23
These move in the same direction about 50% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~6% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Personal Savings Rate moves ~4 months before TRX
Watch Personal Savings Rate for an early read on TRX.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
50%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-24%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-60% → +21%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
729
811
Normalized
729
811
Prepared
25
811
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
6%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
22
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 months.
Selected shift
-4 months
Correlation at this shift
+51%
+27% stronger than no-shift baseline
Personal Savings Rate shifted 4 months later. Reads: "Does TRON (TRX) today line up with Personal Savings Rate 4 months ago?"
18 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-24%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-4 months
+51%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+13%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-69%
11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
790
A: 2 / B: 788
Series A
TRON (TRX)
TRX
Crypto · 729 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Personal Savings Rate
PSAVERT
FRED · 811 raw → 811 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.2121
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0140
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: crypto-trx_fred-psavert_monthly_5y