Loading market view
Loading market view
Loading correlations
TRON (TRX) vs Real Personal Consumption
Correlation
of % moves
+55%
In sync
of periods
68%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-03
23
These move in the same direction about 68% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~31% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
68.2%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+55%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+17% → +79%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
729
231
Normalized
729
231
Prepared
25
231
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
30.6%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.01
Statistical confidence
Data points
23
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+55%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
22 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+55%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+55%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+72%
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-22%
7 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
210
A: 2 / B: 208
Series A
TRON (TRX)
TRX
Crypto · 729 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Real Personal Consumption
PCEC96
FRED · 231 raw → 231 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0148
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0014
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: crypto-trx_fred-pcec96_monthly_5y