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Correlation
of % moves
+27%
In sync
of periods
70%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
22
These move in the same direction about 70% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~7% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
US CPI moves ~3 months before TRX
Watch US CPI for an early read on TRX.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
70%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+27%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-20% → +63%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
22 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
729
954
Normalized
729
954
Prepared
25
954
Aligned
22
22
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
7%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
20
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -5 to 5 months.
Selected shift
-3 months
Correlation at this shift
-54%
+27% stronger than no-shift baseline
US CPI shifted 3 months later. Reads: "Does TRON (TRX) today line up with US CPI 3 months ago?"
14 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+27%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-3 months
-54%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+13%
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-68%
6 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
935
A: 3 / B: 932
Series A
TRON (TRX)
TRX
Crypto · 729 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
US CPI
CPIAUCSL
FRED · 954 raw → 954 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0062
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0024
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: crypto-trx_fred-cpiaucsl_monthly_5y