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Correlation
of % moves
+5%
In sync
of periods
67%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
23
These move in the same direction about 67% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~0% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
TRX moves ~5 months before US CPI
Watch TRX for an early read on US CPI.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
66.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+5%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-39% → +47%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
729
951
Normalized
729
951
Prepared
25
951
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
0.3%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
23
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 months.
Selected shift
+5 months
Correlation at this shift
-39%
+34% stronger than no-shift baseline
US CPI shifted 5 months earlier. Reads: "Does TRON (TRX) today line up with US CPI 5 months from now?"
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+5%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+5 months
-39%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+12%
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-81%
7 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
930
A: 2 / B: 928
Series A
TRON (TRX)
TRX
Crypto · 729 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
US CPI
CPIAUCSL
FRED · 951 raw → 951 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0010
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0027
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: crypto-trx_fred-cpiaucsl_monthly_5y