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TRON (TRX) vs Sticky Price CPI
Correlation
of % moves
+25%
In sync
of periods
59%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
23
These move in the same direction about 59% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~6% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Sticky Price CPI moves ~11 months before TRX
Watch Sticky Price CPI for an early read on TRX.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
59%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+25%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
729
701
Normalized
729
701
Prepared
25
701
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
6%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
22
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 months.
Selected shift
-11 months
Correlation at this shift
+50%
+25% stronger than no-shift baseline
Sticky Price CPI shifted 11 months later. Reads: "Does TRON (TRX) today line up with Sticky Price CPI 11 months ago?"
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+25%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-11 months
+50%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-49%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-26%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-63%
9 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
680
A: 2 / B: 678
Series A
TRON (TRX)
TRX
Crypto · 729 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Sticky Price CPI
CORESTICKM159SFRBATL
FRED · 701 raw → 701 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0749
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0170
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: crypto-trx_fred-corestickm159sfrbatl_monthly_5y