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TRON (TRX) vs Avg Hourly Earnings
Correlation
of % moves
-14%
In sync
of periods
65%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
24
These move in the same direction about 65% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~2% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
TRX moves ~12 months before Avg Hourly Earnings
Watch TRX for an early read on Avg Hourly Earnings.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
65.2%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-14%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-52% → +29%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
24 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
729
242
Normalized
729
242
Prepared
25
242
Aligned
24
24
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
2.0%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
24
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -13 to 13 months.
Selected shift
+12 months
Correlation at this shift
-50%
+36% stronger than no-shift baseline
Avg Hourly Earnings shifted 12 months earlier. Reads: "Does TRON (TRX) today line up with Avg Hourly Earnings 12 months from now?"
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-14%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+12 months
-50%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+2%
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-51%
8 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
219
A: 1 / B: 218
Series A
TRON (TRX)
TRX
Crypto · 729 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Avg Hourly Earnings
CES0500000003
FRED · 242 raw → 242 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0016
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0031
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: crypto-trx_fred-ces0500000003_monthly_5y