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Toncoin (TON) vs Existing Home Sales
Correlation
of % moves
-43%
In sync
of periods
55%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
13
These move in the same direction about 55% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~19% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
54.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-43%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-81% → +19%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
13 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
701
13
Normalized
701
13
Prepared
25
13
Aligned
13
13
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
18.7%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
13
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -2 to 2 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-43%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-43%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-43%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
3 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
3 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-50%
6 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
12
A: 12 / B: 0
Series A
Toncoin (TON)
TON
Crypto · 701 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Existing Home Sales
EXHOSLUSM495S
FRED · 13 raw → 13 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0963
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0069
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: crypto-ton_fred-exhoslusm495s_monthly_5y