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Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY) vs Labor Force Participation
Correlation
of % moves
-40%
In sync
of periods
39%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
59
These move in the same direction about 39% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~16% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
38.6%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-40%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-60% → -16%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
59 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,255
940
Normalized
1,255
940
Prepared
61
940
Aligned
59
59
Invalid removed
R²(i)
16.1%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.01
Statistical confidence
Data points
59
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-40%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
57 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-40%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-40%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0%
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-49%
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-66%
40 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
883
A: 2 / B: 881
Series A
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY)
TDY
Stock · 1,255 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
Labor Force Participation
CIVPART
FRED · 940 raw → 940 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0155
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0002
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-civpart_stock-tdy_monthly_5y