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AT&T Inc. (T) vs Total Vehicle Sales
Correlation
of % moves
+29%
In sync
of periods
61%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-06
60
These move in the same direction about 61% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~8% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Total Vehicle Sales moves ~12 months before T
Watch Total Vehicle Sales for an early read on T.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
61%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+29%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
60 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,254
606
Normalized
1,254
606
Prepared
61
606
Aligned
60
60
Invalid removed
8%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
59
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
-12 months
Correlation at this shift
+35%
+6% stronger than no-shift baseline
Total Vehicle Sales shifted 12 months later. Reads: "Does AT&T Inc. (T) today line up with Total Vehicle Sales 12 months ago?"
47 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+29%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-12 months
+35%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+27%
19 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-15%
17 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-57%
23 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
547
A: 1 / B: 546
Series A
AT&T Inc. (T)
T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
Total Vehicle Sales
TOTALSA
FRED · 606 raw → 606 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.2322
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0027
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-totalsa_stock-t_monthly_5y