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AT&T Inc. (T) vs Velocity of M2 Money Stock
Correlation
of % moves
-44%
In sync
of periods
29%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-01
19
These move in the same direction about 29% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~19% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Velocity of M2 Money Stock moves ~6 months before T
Watch Velocity of M2 Money Stock for an early read on T.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
29.4%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-44%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-75% → +4%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
19 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,254
269
Normalized
1,254
269
Prepared
61
269
Aligned
19
19
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
19.2%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
19
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -8 to 8 months.
Selected shift
-6 months
Correlation at this shift
+65%
+21% stronger than no-shift baseline
Velocity of M2 Money Stock shifted 6 months later. Reads: "Does AT&T Inc. (T) today line up with Velocity of M2 Money Stock 6 months ago?"
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-44%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-6 months
+65%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
292
A: 42 / B: 250
Series A
AT&T Inc. (T)
T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
Velocity of M2 Money Stock
M2V
FRED · 269 raw → 269 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
2
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0366
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0109
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-m2v_stock-t_monthly_5y