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SYM vs FFederal DebtSymbotic Inc. Class A Common Stock (SYM) vs Federal Debt
Correlation
of % moves
+62%
In sync
of periods
54%
History
monthsmonths · through 2025-10
14
These move in the same direction about 54% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~38% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
53.8%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+62%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+10% → +87%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
14 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
993
240
Normalized
993
240
Prepared
48
240
Aligned
14
14
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
38.4%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
14
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -3 to 3 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+62%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
13 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+62%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+62%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+95%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-95%
6 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
260
A: 34 / B: 226
Series A
Symbotic Inc. Class A Common Stock (SYM)
SYM
Stock · 993 raw → 48 prepared
Series B
Federal Debt
GFDEBTN
FRED · 240 raw → 240 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0189
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0149
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-gfdebtn_stock-sym_monthly_5y