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Correlation
of % moves
+30%
In sync
of periods
50%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-01
15
These move in the same direction about 50% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~9% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
SYM moves ~3 months before US GDP
Watch SYM for an early read on US GDP.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
50.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+30%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-27% → +72%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
15 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
993
317
Normalized
993
317
Prepared
48
317
Aligned
15
15
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
9.0%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
15
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -4 to 4 months.
Selected shift
+3 months
Correlation at this shift
-45%
+15% stronger than no-shift baseline
US GDP shifted 3 months earlier. Reads: "Does Symbotic Inc. Class A Common Stock (SYM) today line up with US GDP 3 months from now?"
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+30%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+3 months
-45%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+65%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+60%
7 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
335
A: 33 / B: 302
Series A
Symbotic Inc. Class A Common Stock (SYM)
SYM
Stock · 993 raw → 48 prepared
Series B
US GDP
GDP
FRED · 317 raw → 317 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0029
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0133
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-gdp_stock-sym_monthly_5y