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Solana (SOL) vs Total Vehicle Sales
Correlation
of % moves
-42%
In sync
of periods
41%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
23
These move in the same direction about 41% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~18% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
41%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-42%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-72% → -0%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
729
607
Normalized
729
607
Prepared
25
607
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
18%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
22
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-42%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
22 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-42%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-42%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-10%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
3 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-78%
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
586
A: 2 / B: 584
Series A
Solana (SOL)
SOL
Crypto · 729 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Total Vehicle Sales
TOTALSA
FRED · 607 raw → 607 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1151
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0021
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: crypto-sol_fred-totalsa_monthly_5y