SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
These move together about 61% of the time
Very strong positive
Strong enough to use as a signal — read the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Target's start dates back to 1962, but now it is one of the largest discount retailers in the United States (where it derives all of its sales), operating just under 2,000 stores and generating over $104 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. The company offers a broad assortment of merchandise across categories including apparel and accessories (16% of fiscal 2025 revenue), beauty and household essentials (30%), food and beverage (24%), hardlines (15%), as well as home furnishings (15%). Target's model is anchored in its physical store base, which fulfills more than 97% of sales. Around 30% of sales are derived from its own private-label brands.
Market cap 57.7B · 415,000 employees
Snap is a technology company best known for its marquis social media application. Snapchat, a visual messaging application that has amassed hundreds of millions of users. The app was initially only used to communicate with family and friends through photographs and short videos (known as "Snaps"). Users can now enjoy augmented reality, or AR, lenses, content from famous creators and celebrities, updates about local events, and more. Although the app offers a paid subscription option with premium features, advertising sales produce most of the app's revenue. The firm also sells wearable devices called AR Spectacles, which can capture photos and videos overlayed with AR lenses, but these make
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recent correlation (-43%) is 3.7σ from the long-run average of +85% — pair is behaving differently than usual.
Holds across regimes
Correlation is similar when markets rise (+9%) and fall (+27%) — reliable in both directions.
Regime-dependent
The correlation has flipped sign across time windows — not reliable as a standalone signal.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+85%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,255 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Snap Inc. at original dates
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
+85%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
+84% → +87%
Likely range
R²
73.0%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
61.4%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,255
Deep
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,255 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
1,255
Normalized
1,255
1,255
Prepared
1,255
1,255
Aligned
1,255
1,255
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Market cap 10B · 5,261 employees
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+9%
92 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+27%
90 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-31%
67 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Target Corporation
TGT
Market cap 57.7B · 415,000 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
Snap Inc.
SNAP
Market cap 10B · 5,261 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
31
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.3438
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-33.9846
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 1 hour ago · ID: stock-snap_stock-tgt_5y