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iShares Silver Trust (SLV) vs US Dollar Index
Correlation
of % moves
-35%
In sync
of periods
34%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-15
1,239
These move opposite each other about 34% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~12% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
34.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-35%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-40% → -30%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,239 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
5,107
Normalized
1,255
5,107
Prepared
1,255
5,107
Aligned
1,239
1,239
Invalid removed
R²(i)
12.1%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,239
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-35%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,238 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-35%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-35%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-15%
61 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-6%
52 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-28%
136 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
3,884
A: 16 / B: 3868
Series A
SLV
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
US Dollar Index
DTWEXAFEGS
FRED · 5,107 raw → 5,107 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
20
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0605
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0001
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-dtwexafegs_stock-slv_daily_5y