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Shiba Inu (SHIB) vs Fed Balance Sheet
Correlation
of % moves
-12%
In sync
of periods
50%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-21
104
These move in the same direction about 50% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~1% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
SHIB moves ~1 week before Fed Balance Sheet
Watch SHIB for an early read on Fed Balance Sheet.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
50.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-12%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-30% → +8%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
104 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
729
1,223
Normalized
729
1,223
Prepared
105
1,223
Aligned
104
104
Invalid removed
R²(i)
1.4%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
104
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
+1 week
Correlation at this shift
-25%
+13% stronger than no-shift baseline
Fed Balance Sheet shifted 1 week earlier. Reads: "Does Shiba Inu (SHIB) today line up with Fed Balance Sheet 1 week from now?"
102 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-12%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+1 week
-25%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-12%
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-20%
37 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-50%
51 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,120
A: 1 / B: 1119
Series A
Shiba Inu (SHIB)
SHIB
Crypto · 729 raw → 105 prepared
Series B
Fed Balance Sheet
WALCL
FRED · 1,223 raw → 1,223 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0037
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0008
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: crypto-shib_fred-walcl_weekly_5y