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Starbucks Corp (SBUX) vs Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Correlation
of % moves
-48%
In sync
of periods
33%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
58
These move in the same direction about 33% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~23% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
33%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-48%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
58 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,254
472
Normalized
1,254
472
Prepared
61
472
Aligned
58
58
Invalid removed
23%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
57
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-48%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
57 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-48%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-48%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-12%
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-25%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-71%
38 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
417
A: 3 / B: 414
Series A
Starbucks Corp (SBUX)
SBUX
Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
Case-Shiller Home Price Index
CSUSHPINSA
FRED · 472 raw → 472 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
7
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0583
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0037
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-csushpinsa_stock-sbux_monthly_5y