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Revolution Medicines, Inc. Common Stock (RVMD) vs Consumer Sentiment
Correlation
of % moves
+27%
In sync
of periods
58%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-03
59
These move in the same direction about 58% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~7% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
RVMD moves ~1 month before Consumer Sentiment
Watch RVMD for an early read on Consumer Sentiment.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
57.9%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+27%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+1% → +49%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
59 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,254
671
Normalized
1,254
671
Prepared
61
671
Aligned
59
59
Invalid removed
R²(i)
7.2%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
59
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
+1 month
Correlation at this shift
+40%
+13% stronger than no-shift baseline
Consumer Sentiment shifted 1 month earlier. Reads: "Does Revolution Medicines, Inc. Common Stock (RVMD) today line up with Consumer Sentiment 1 month from now?"
57 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+27%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+1 month
+40%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-22%
18 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+10%
15 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-46%
25 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
614
A: 2 / B: 612
Series A
Revolution Medicines, Inc. Common Stock (RVMD)
RVMD
Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
Consumer Sentiment
UMCSENT
FRED · 671 raw → 671 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1480
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0106
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-umcsent_stock-rvmd_monthly_5y