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Correlation
of values
+48%
In sync
of periods
49%
History
daysdays · through 2026-09-08
3,321
These move in the same direction about 49% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~23% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
49%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+48%
Based on values
95% CI
+46% → +51%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
3,321 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
3,321
5,925
Normalized
3,321
5,925
Prepared
3,321
5,925
Aligned
3,321
3,321
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
23%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
3,321
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+48%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
3,321 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+48%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+48%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+40%
8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-49%
16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
2,604
A: 0 / B: 2604
Series A
Overnight Reverse Repo
RRPONTSYD
FRED · 3,321 raw → 3,321 prepared
Series B
10Y Breakeven Inflation
T10YIE
FRED · 5,925 raw → 5,925 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
34
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0003
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
1.9123
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-rrpontsyd_fred-t10yie_daily_5y