SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
-86%
of % moves
In sync
29%
of periods
History
752
days · through 2026-04-30
These move opposite each other about 29% of the time
When one swings, the other almost always swings by a closely matched amount in the opposite direction (~74% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Time Series
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
29.3%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-86%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-88% → -84%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
752 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
786
Normalized
1,255
786
Prepared
1,255
786
Aligned
752
752
Invalid removed
Explore
R²(i)
74.4%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
752
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-86%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
752 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-86%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-86%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+64%
34 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+8%
44 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-68%
171 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
537
A: 503 / B: 34
Series A
RKT
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
ICE BofA US High Yield Index Effective Yield
BAMLH0A0HYM2EY
FRED · 786 raw → 786 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
37
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1710
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
9.8113
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-bamlh0a0hym2ey_stock-rkt_5y
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.