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Rocket Lab Corporation Common Stock (RKLB) vs Consumer Sentiment
Correlation
of % moves
+38%
In sync
of periods
59%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
58
These move in the same direction about 59% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~15% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
59%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+38%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
58 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,222
673
Normalized
1,222
673
Prepared
60
673
Aligned
58
58
Invalid removed
15%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
57
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+38%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
57 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+38%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+38%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-33%
17 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+5%
16 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-33%
24 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
617
A: 2 / B: 615
Series A
Rocket Lab Corporation Common Stock (RKLB)
RKLB
Stock · 1,222 raw → 60 prepared
Series B
Consumer Sentiment
UMCSENT
FRED · 673 raw → 673 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1275
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0134
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-umcsent_stock-rklb_monthly_5y