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Rocket Lab Corporation Common Stock (RKLB) vs Velocity of M2 Money Stock
Correlation
of % moves
-40%
In sync
of periods
50%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-01
18
These move opposite each other about 50% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~16% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
RKLB moves ~5 months before Velocity of M2 Money Stock
Watch RKLB for an early read on Velocity of M2 Money Stock.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
50.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-40%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-74% → +10%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
18 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,191
269
Normalized
1,191
269
Prepared
58
269
Aligned
18
18
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
16.2%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
18
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -7 to 7 months.
Selected shift
+5 months
Correlation at this shift
-51%
+11% stronger than no-shift baseline
Velocity of M2 Money Stock shifted 5 months earlier. Reads: "Does Rocket Lab Corporation Common Stock (RKLB) today line up with Velocity of M2 Money Stock 5 months from now?"
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-40%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+5 months
-51%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-54%
8 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-39%
9 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
291
A: 40 / B: 251
Series A
Rocket Lab Corporation Common Stock (RKLB)
RKLB
Stock · 1,191 raw → 58 prepared
Series B
Velocity of M2 Money Stock
M2V
FRED · 269 raw → 269 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0096
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0124
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-m2v_stock-rklb_monthly_5y