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Royal Gold Inc (RGLD) vs USD/MYR Exchange Rate
Correlation
of % moves
-10%
In sync
of periods
47%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-15
1,238
These move opposite each other about 47% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~1% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently looser than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
RGLD moves ~1 day before USD/MYR Exchange Rate
Watch RGLD for an early read on USD/MYR Exchange Rate.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Rock solid
The relationship barely changes from period to period — treat it as a reliable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
47.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-10%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-16% → -5%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,238 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
13,863
Normalized
1,254
13,863
Prepared
1,254
13,863
Aligned
1,238
1,238
Invalid removed
R²(i)
1.1%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,238
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
+1 day
Correlation at this shift
-23%
+13% stronger than no-shift baseline
USD/MYR Exchange Rate shifted 1 day earlier. Reads: "Does Royal Gold Inc (RGLD) today line up with USD/MYR Exchange Rate 1 day from now?"
1,236 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-10%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+1 day
-23%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+21%
57 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-9%
40 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-58%
152 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
12,641
A: 16 / B: 12625
Series A
Royal Gold Inc (RGLD)
RGLD
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
USD/MYR Exchange Rate
DEXMAUS
FRED · 13,863 raw → 13,863 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
25
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0190
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0000
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-dexmaus_stock-rgld_daily_5y