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Reddit, Inc. (RDDT) vs Total Consumer Credit
Correlation
of % moves
-37%
In sync
of periods
50%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-03
25
These move opposite each other about 50% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~14% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Total Consumer Credit moves ~14 months before RDDT
Watch Total Consumer Credit for an early read on RDDT.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
50.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-37%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-68% → +4%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
25 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
545
999
Normalized
545
999
Prepared
27
999
Aligned
25
25
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
13.9%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
25
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -14 to 14 months.
Selected shift
-14 months
Correlation at this shift
+69%
+32% stronger than no-shift baseline
Total Consumer Credit shifted 14 months later. Reads: "Does Reddit, Inc. (RDDT) today line up with Total Consumer Credit 14 months ago?"
10 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-37%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-14 months
+69%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-11%
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-58%
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
976
A: 2 / B: 974
Series A
Reddit, Inc. (RDDT)
RDDT
Stock · 545 raw → 27 prepared
Series B
Total Consumer Credit
TOTALSL
FRED · 999 raw → 999 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0096
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0014
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-totalsl_stock-rddt_monthly_5y