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Reddit, Inc. (RDDT) vs 10-Year Real Interest Rate
Correlation
of % moves
+34%
In sync
of periods
46%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
27
These move in the same direction about 46% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~12% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
10-Year Real Interest Rate moves ~7 months before RDDT
Watch 10-Year Real Interest Rate for an early read on RDDT.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
46.2%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+34%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-5% → +64%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
27 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
545
533
Normalized
545
533
Prepared
27
533
Aligned
27
27
Invalid removed
R²(i)
11.7%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
27
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -16 to 16 months.
Selected shift
-7 months
Correlation at this shift
+60%
+26% stronger than no-shift baseline
10-Year Real Interest Rate shifted 7 months later. Reads: "Does Reddit, Inc. (RDDT) today line up with 10-Year Real Interest Rate 7 months ago?"
19 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+34%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-7 months
+60%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+95%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-62%
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-55%
14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
506
A: 0 / B: 506
Series A
Reddit, Inc. (RDDT)
RDDT
Stock · 545 raw → 27 prepared
Series B
10-Year Real Interest Rate
REAINTRATREARAT10Y
FRED · 533 raw → 533 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1627
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0130
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-reaintratrearat10y_stock-rddt_monthly_5y