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RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) vs 10-Year Real Interest Rate
Correlation
of % moves
+20%
In sync
of periods
55%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
51
These move in the same direction about 55% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~4% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
10-Year Real Interest Rate moves ~17 months before RBC
Watch 10-Year Real Interest Rate for an early read on RBC.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
55.1%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+20%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-9% → +45%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
51 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,008
533
Normalized
1,008
533
Prepared
51
533
Aligned
51
51
Invalid removed
R²(i)
3.9%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
51
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
-17 months
Correlation at this shift
-44%
+24% stronger than no-shift baseline
10-Year Real Interest Rate shifted 17 months later. Reads: "Does RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) today line up with 10-Year Real Interest Rate 17 months ago?"
27 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+20%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-17 months
-44%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-6%
17 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-13%
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-52%
22 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
482
A: 0 / B: 482
Series A
RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)
RBC
Stock · 1,008 raw → 51 prepared
Series B
10-Year Real Interest Rate
REAINTRATREARAT10Y
FRED · 533 raw → 533 prepared
Sign agreement
94.1%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.5358
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0058
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-reaintratrearat10y_stock-rbc_monthly_5y