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Correlation
of % moves
+12%
In sync
of periods
57%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-16
240
These move in the same direction about 57% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~1% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Swings around
Their relationship swings around — sometimes tight, sometimes loose. Don't trust a single snapshot.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
57%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+12%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-1% → +24%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
240 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
1,153
3,113
Normalized
1,153
3,113
Prepared
240
3,113
Aligned
240
240
Invalid removed
R²(i)
1%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
239
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+12%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
239 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+12%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+12%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+23%
64 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-14%
62 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-49%
113 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
2,873
A: 0 / B: 2873
Series A
PSTG
Stock · 1,153 raw → 240 prepared
Series B
Initial Jobless Claims
ICSA
FRED · 3,113 raw → 3,113 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
49
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0985
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0026
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-icsa_stock-pstg_weekly_5y