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Permian Resources Corporation (PR) vs PCE Price Index
Correlation
of % moves
+56%
In sync
of periods
64%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-03
43
These move in the same direction about 64% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~31% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
64.3%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+56%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+30% → +74%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
43 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
936
807
Normalized
936
807
Prepared
45
807
Aligned
43
43
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
31.0%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
43
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+56%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
42 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+56%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+56%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+45%
27 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+20%
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
766
A: 2 / B: 764
Series A
Permian Resources Corporation (PR)
PR
Stock · 936 raw → 45 prepared
Series B
PCE Price Index
PCEPI
FRED · 807 raw → 807 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
7
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0091
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0023
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: fred-pcepi_stock-pr_monthly_5y