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Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) vs Bank Reserves
Correlation
of % moves
+78%
In sync
of periods
64%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
12
These move in the same direction about 64% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount (~60% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
63.6%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+78%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+33% → +94%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
12 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
264
808
Normalized
264
808
Prepared
14
808
Aligned
12
12
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
60.4%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.01
Statistical confidence
Data points
12
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -1 to 1 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+78%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+78%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+78%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+67%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
798
A: 2 / B: 796
Series A
Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA)
NAKA
Stock · 264 raw → 14 prepared
Series B
Bank Reserves
TOTRESNS
FRED · 808 raw → 808 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0548
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0162
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: fred-totresns_stock-naka_monthly_5y