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Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) vs Bank Reserves
Correlation
of % moves
+78%
In sync
of periods
57%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
15
These move in the same direction about 57% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount (~61% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
57%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+78%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+42% → +93%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
15 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
331
811
Normalized
331
811
Prepared
17
811
Aligned
15
15
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
61%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.01
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
14
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -4 to 4 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+78%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
14 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+78%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+78%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+66%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-66%
6 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
798
A: 2 / B: 796
Series A
Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA)
NAKA
Stock · 331 raw → 17 prepared
Series B
Bank Reserves
TOTRESNS
FRED · 811 raw → 811 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0557
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0166
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-totresns_stock-naka_monthly_5y