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Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) vs Retail Sales
Correlation
of % moves
+48%
In sync
of periods
15%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-06
14
These move in the same direction about 15% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~23% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Retail Sales moves ~3 months before NAKA
Watch Retail Sales for an early read on NAKA.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
15%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+48%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-10% → +82%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
14 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
299
414
Normalized
299
414
Prepared
16
414
Aligned
14
14
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
23%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
13
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -3 to 3 months.
Selected shift
-3 months
Correlation at this shift
-53%
+5% stronger than no-shift baseline
Retail Sales shifted 3 months later. Reads: "Does Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) today line up with Retail Sales 3 months ago?"
10 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+48%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-3 months
-53%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+16%
11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
402
A: 2 / B: 400
Series A
Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA)
NAKA
Stock · 299 raw → 16 prepared
Series B
Retail Sales
RSAFS
FRED · 414 raw → 414 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0069
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0085
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 months ago · ID: fred-rsafs_stock-naka_monthly_5y