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Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) vs Personal Savings Rate
Correlation
of % moves
+22%
In sync
of periods
100%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-06
14
These move in the same direction about 100% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~5% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
NAKA moves ~3 months before Personal Savings Rate
Watch NAKA for an early read on Personal Savings Rate.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
100%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+22%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-37% → +69%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
14 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
298
810
Normalized
298
810
Prepared
15
810
Aligned
14
14
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
5%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
13
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -3 to 3 months.
Selected shift
+3 months
Correlation at this shift
-56%
+34% stronger than no-shift baseline
Personal Savings Rate shifted 3 months earlier. Reads: "Does Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) today line up with Personal Savings Rate 3 months from now?"
10 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+22%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+3 months
-56%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-23%
12 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
797
A: 1 / B: 796
Series A
Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA)
NAKA
Stock · 298 raw → 15 prepared
Series B
Personal Savings Rate
PSAVERT
FRED · 810 raw → 810 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0514
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0246
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 months ago · ID: fred-psavert_stock-naka_monthly_5y