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Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) vs Personal Savings Rate
Correlation
of % moves
+32%
In sync
of periods
93%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
15
These move in the same direction about 93% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~10% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
NAKA moves ~3 months before Personal Savings Rate
Watch NAKA for an early read on Personal Savings Rate.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
93%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+32%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-26% → +72%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
15 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
327
811
Normalized
327
811
Prepared
17
811
Aligned
15
15
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
10%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
14
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -4 to 4 months.
Selected shift
+3 months
Correlation at this shift
-39%
+7% stronger than no-shift baseline
Personal Savings Rate shifted 3 months earlier. Reads: "Does Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) today line up with Personal Savings Rate 3 months from now?"
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+32%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+3 months
-39%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-25%
12 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
798
A: 2 / B: 796
Series A
Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA)
NAKA
Stock · 327 raw → 17 prepared
Series B
Personal Savings Rate
PSAVERT
FRED · 811 raw → 811 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0848
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0024
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-psavert_stock-naka_monthly_5y