Loading market view
Loading market view
Loading correlations
Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) vs Core PCE Price Index
Correlation
of % moves
+41%
In sync
of periods
7%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
15
These move in the same direction about 7% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~17% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
NAKA moves ~3 months before Core PCE Price Index
Watch NAKA for an early read on Core PCE Price Index.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+41%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-16% → +77%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
15 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
330
811
Normalized
330
811
Prepared
17
811
Aligned
15
15
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
17%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
14
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -4 to 4 months.
Selected shift
+3 months
Correlation at this shift
-63%
+22% stronger than no-shift baseline
Core PCE Price Index shifted 3 months earlier. Reads: "Does Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) today line up with Core PCE Price Index 3 months from now?"
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+41%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+3 months
-63%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+28%
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
798
A: 2 / B: 796
Series A
Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA)
NAKA
Stock · 330 raw → 17 prepared
Series B
Core PCE Price Index
PCEPILFE
FRED · 811 raw → 811 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0009
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0031
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-pcepilfe_stock-naka_monthly_5y