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Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) vs PCE Price Index
Correlation
of % moves
+28%
In sync
of periods
14%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
15
These move in the same direction about 14% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~8% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
PCE Price Index moves ~2 months before NAKA
Watch PCE Price Index for an early read on NAKA.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
14%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+28%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-29% → +71%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
15 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
329
811
Normalized
329
811
Prepared
17
811
Aligned
15
15
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
8%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
14
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -4 to 4 months.
Selected shift
-2 months
Correlation at this shift
+41%
+13% stronger than no-shift baseline
PCE Price Index shifted 2 months later. Reads: "Does Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) today line up with PCE Price Index 2 months ago?"
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+28%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-2 months
+41%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+36%
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
798
A: 2 / B: 796
Series A
Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA)
NAKA
Stock · 329 raw → 17 prepared
Series B
PCE Price Index
PCEPI
FRED · 811 raw → 811 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0013
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0034
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-pcepi_stock-naka_monthly_5y