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Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) vs Existing Home Sales
Correlation
of % moves
-43%
In sync
of periods
33%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-08
13
These move in the same direction about 33% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~18% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
33%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-43%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-80% → +20%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
13 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
330
13
Normalized
330
13
Prepared
17
13
Aligned
13
13
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
18%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
12
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -2 to 2 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-43%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-43%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-43%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-9%
8 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
4
A: 4 / B: 0
Series A
Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA)
NAKA
Stock · 330 raw → 17 prepared
Series B
Existing Home Sales
EXHOSLUSM495S
FRED · 13 raw → 13 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
6
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0278
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0107
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-exhoslusm495s_stock-naka_monthly_5y