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Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) vs Existing Home Sales
Correlation
of % moves
-43%
In sync
of periods
30%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
12
These move in the same direction about 30% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~19% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
30.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-43%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-82% → +22%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
12 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
254
13
Normalized
254
13
Prepared
13
13
Aligned
12
12
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
18.9%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
12
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -1 to 1 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-43%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-43%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-43%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
3 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-15%
8 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
2
A: 1 / B: 1
Series A
Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA)
NAKA
Stock · 254 raw → 13 prepared
Series B
Existing Home Sales
EXHOSLUSM495S
FRED · 13 raw → 13 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0297
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0130
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: fred-exhoslusm495s_stock-naka_monthly_5y