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Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) vs Real Disposable Income
Correlation
of % moves
+22%
In sync
of periods
73%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
12
These move in the same direction about 73% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~5% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Real Disposable Income moves ~1 month before NAKA
Watch Real Disposable Income for an early read on NAKA.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
72.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+22%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-44% → +73%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
12 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
264
808
Normalized
264
808
Prepared
14
808
Aligned
12
12
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
4.9%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
12
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -1 to 1 months.
Selected shift
-1 month
Correlation at this shift
-32%
+10% stronger than no-shift baseline
Real Disposable Income shifted 1 month later. Reads: "Does Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) today line up with Real Disposable Income 1 month ago?"
10 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+22%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-1 month
-32%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-28%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
N/A
3 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
798
A: 2 / B: 796
Series A
Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA)
NAKA
Stock · 264 raw → 14 prepared
Series B
Real Disposable Income
DSPIC96
FRED · 808 raw → 808 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0019
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0006
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: fred-dspic96_stock-naka_monthly_5y