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Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) vs Sticky Price CPI
Correlation
of % moves
+41%
In sync
of periods
40%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-08
16
These move in the same direction about 40% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~17% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Sticky Price CPI moves ~2 months before NAKA
Watch Sticky Price CPI for an early read on NAKA.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
40%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+41%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-13% → +76%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
16 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
330
704
Normalized
330
704
Prepared
17
704
Aligned
16
16
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
17%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
15
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -5 to 5 months.
Selected shift
-2 months
Correlation at this shift
-48%
+7% stronger than no-shift baseline
Sticky Price CPI shifted 2 months later. Reads: "Does Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) today line up with Sticky Price CPI 2 months ago?"
13 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+41%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-2 months
-48%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-14%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-66%
9 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
689
A: 1 / B: 688
Series A
Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA)
NAKA
Stock · 330 raw → 17 prepared
Series B
Sticky Price CPI
CORESTICKM159SFRBATL
FRED · 704 raw → 704 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0416
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0034
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-corestickm159sfrbatl_stock-naka_monthly_5y