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Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA) vs Aaa Corporate Bond Yield
Correlation
of % moves
+61%
In sync
of periods
67%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-08
16
These move in the same direction about 67% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount (~37% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
67%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+61%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+14% → +85%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
16 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
329
1,292
Normalized
329
1,292
Prepared
17
1,292
Aligned
16
16
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
37%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
15
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -5 to 5 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+61%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
15 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+61%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+61%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+46%
8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+70%
5 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,277
A: 1 / B: 1276
Series A
Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA)
NAKA
Stock · 329 raw → 17 prepared
Series B
Aaa Corporate Bond Yield
AAA
FRED · 1,292 raw → 1,292 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0318
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0147
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-aaa_stock-naka_monthly_5y