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Niagen Bioscience, Inc. Common Stock (NAGE) vs Consumer Sentiment
Correlation
of % moves
+45%
In sync
of periods
67%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
14
These move in the same direction about 67% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~20% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
NAGE moves ~1 month before Consumer Sentiment
Watch NAGE for an early read on Consumer Sentiment.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
66.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+45%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-13% → +80%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
14 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
310
672
Normalized
310
672
Prepared
16
672
Aligned
14
14
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
20.3%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
14
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -3 to 3 months.
Selected shift
+1 month
Correlation at this shift
+75%
+29% stronger than no-shift baseline
Consumer Sentiment shifted 1 month earlier. Reads: "Does Niagen Bioscience, Inc. Common Stock (NAGE) today line up with Consumer Sentiment 1 month from now?"
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+45%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+1 month
+75%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-54%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-23%
5 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
660
A: 2 / B: 658
Series A
Niagen Bioscience, Inc. Common Stock (NAGE)
NAGE
Stock · 310 raw → 16 prepared
Series B
Consumer Sentiment
UMCSENT
FRED · 672 raw → 672 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1589
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0048
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-umcsent_stock-nage_monthly_5y