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Niagen Bioscience, Inc. Common Stock (NAGE) vs St. Louis Financial Stress Index
Correlation
of % moves
-27%
In sync
of periods
32%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-22
63
These move in the same direction about 32% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~7% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
St. Louis Financial Stress Index moves ~9 weeks before NAGE
Watch St. Louis Financial Stress Index for an early read on NAGE.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
32.3%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-27%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-49% → -2%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
63 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
310
1,692
Normalized
310
1,692
Prepared
65
1,692
Aligned
63
63
Invalid removed
R²(i)
7.2%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
63
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 2 weeks.
Selected shift
-9 weeks
Correlation at this shift
+38%
+11% stronger than no-shift baseline
St. Louis Financial Stress Index shifted 9 weeks later. Reads: "Does Niagen Bioscience, Inc. Common Stock (NAGE) today line up with St. Louis Financial Stress Index 9 weeks ago?"
53 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-27%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-9 weeks
+38%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-25%
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+13%
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-60%
42 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,631
A: 2 / B: 1629
Series A
Niagen Bioscience, Inc. Common Stock (NAGE)
NAGE
Stock · 310 raw → 65 prepared
Series B
St. Louis Financial Stress Index
STLFSI4
FRED · 1,692 raw → 1,692 prepared
Sign agreement
3.2%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.8535
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0185
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-stlfsi4_stock-nage_weekly_5y