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Niagen Bioscience, Inc. Common Stock (NAGE) vs Retail Sales
Correlation
of % moves
-40%
In sync
of periods
38%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
17
These move in the same direction about 38% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~16% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Retail Sales moves ~5 months before NAGE
Watch Retail Sales for an early read on NAGE.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
38%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-40%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-75% → +12%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
17 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
377
415
Normalized
377
415
Prepared
19
415
Aligned
17
17
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
16%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
16
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 months.
Selected shift
-5 months
Correlation at this shift
+73%
+34% stronger than no-shift baseline
Retail Sales shifted 5 months later. Reads: "Does Niagen Bioscience, Inc. Common Stock (NAGE) today line up with Retail Sales 5 months ago?"
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-40%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-5 months
+73%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-22%
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-77%
10 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
400
A: 2 / B: 398
Series A
Niagen Bioscience, Inc. Common Stock (NAGE)
NAGE
Stock · 377 raw → 19 prepared
Series B
Retail Sales
RSAFS
FRED · 415 raw → 415 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0158
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0026
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-rsafs_stock-nage_monthly_5y