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Niagen Bioscience, Inc. Common Stock (NAGE) vs Real Disposable Income
Correlation
of % moves
-43%
In sync
of periods
40%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-06
16
These move in the same direction about 40% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~18% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Real Disposable Income moves ~5 months before NAGE
Watch Real Disposable Income for an early read on NAGE.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
40%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-43%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-77% → +11%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
16 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
345
810
Normalized
345
810
Prepared
18
810
Aligned
16
16
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
18%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
15
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -5 to 5 months.
Selected shift
-5 months
Correlation at this shift
+50%
+7% stronger than no-shift baseline
Real Disposable Income shifted 5 months later. Reads: "Does Niagen Bioscience, Inc. Common Stock (NAGE) today line up with Real Disposable Income 5 months ago?"
10 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-43%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-5 months
+50%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+30%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-76%
9 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
796
A: 2 / B: 794
Series A
Niagen Bioscience, Inc. Common Stock (NAGE)
NAGE
Stock · 345 raw → 18 prepared
Series B
Real Disposable Income
DSPIC96
FRED · 810 raw → 810 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
7
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0099
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0004
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-dspic96_stock-nage_monthly_5y