SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
Overview
Relationship
These move opposite each other about 30% of the time
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Read
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
The saved window keeps correlation, overlap, alignment, and freshness anchored to the same computed record.
What to Watch
Holds across regimes
Correlation is similar when markets rise (-1%) and fall (-9%) — reliable in both directions.
Flaky
Correlation swings widely across time windows — careful using this as a point estimate.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-46%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,254 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-46%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-46%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
-46%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
-50% → -42%
Likely range
R²
21.3%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
29.6%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,254
Deep
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
9,176
Normalized
1,255
9,176
Prepared
1,255
9,176
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-1%
41 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-9%
40 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-68%
168 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
7,923
A: 1 / B: 7922
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 3.2T · 228,000 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
VIXCLS
FRED · 9,176 raw → 9,176 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
11
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0290
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
29.7119
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: fred-vixcls_stock-msft_5y