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MSCI, Inc. (MSCI) vs Aaa Corporate Bond Yield
Correlation
of % moves
-46%
In sync
of periods
42%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-06
60
These move in the same direction about 42% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~22% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
42%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-46%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
60 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,254
1,290
Normalized
1,254
1,290
Prepared
61
1,290
Aligned
60
60
Invalid removed
22%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
59
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-46%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
59 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-46%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-46%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-31%
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-42%
11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-71%
34 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,231
A: 1 / B: 1230
Series A
MSCI, Inc. (MSCI)
MSCI
Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
Aaa Corporate Bond Yield
AAA
FRED · 1,290 raw → 1,290 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
8
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.3855
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0132
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-aaa_stock-msci_monthly_5y